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[BATTLE] Turkmenistan Erupts

Russo-Turkmen Conflict, January - February 2026
 
A Dance of Logistics
 
Following the American campaign across Turkmenistan, Russian forces were effectively neutered in the air and in the Caspian, while the ground elements suffered heavy losses. American bombs and missiles had decimated the in-country air force, immolating it in droves on the tarmac, while simultaneously having stopped the Russian advance east into Mary in it's tracks, annihilating almost 70% of the Russian Armored division sent to wrest the city from TDF control.
Directly following the shock and awe of their opening act, the Americans opened up the floodgates. Round two over Turkmenistan saw American fighters and bombers largely unopposed, with an injection of new blood as the untested F-15X entered the fray. By January 1st, the Russian West was a sea of fire. With little opposition save for Ashgabat's remaining air defenses, American pilots were free to wreck havoc as the Russians caught their breath, concentrating on degrading logistic capability at major and minor seaports, military bases, and air strips. For the first time since the middle of the Cold War, American GLCMs made an appearance, adding their long range overmatch capability to the mix.
With massive detestation over a good chunk of the West occurring in just days, American commanders had considered the Russian invasion stymied, and on the ground, the situation was dire. However, much to the dismay of most, Russia did not give up - it doubled down. With the advantage of surprise lost, Russian commanders in Moscow sized up the American threat with a grit found uniquely in the Kremlin, and began turning the gears on an audacious plan to wrest control back from their technologically superior adversaries.
In short order, civilian shipping across Dagestan would be covertly commandeered by several companies of Wagner mercenaries, who - under direct orders from the Kremlin - began routine shipping operations to the smaller, less known ports of Turkmenistan. Within that civilian traffic,the Russians managed to ship several battalions of S-400, landing them across the coastline under cover of night to prevent American geospatial interdiction, and rapidly moving them into forested areas. For two days the Russians managed to avoid American notice; on the third, their luck ran out. American cyber intelligence had picked up Russian chatter on the rear, and after a bit of guesswork, managed to direct a Growler team to the area, where the Russians promptly lost $500 million in equipment with a single JDAM salvo.
Clues in to the Russian plan, hunter-killer teams were quickly launched to seek and destroy Russian SAMs, which had dispersed into rural terrain days earlier. Growlers and RQ-180 UAVs were brought to bear, and managed to locate several more TELs, who had moved out of battalion formation for security, and quickly eliminated them. Under pressure, the remaining two battalion strength S-400s dug in to remote locations under ultralight camo netting, refused to switch on their radar receivers or electronics, and prayed for salvation. It was granted, with American units unable to locate them over the vast terrain.
Concurrently, American air patrols managed to easily divert inbound traffic towards Ashgabat International Airport, which Russian commanders had hoped to disguise as civilian air traffic. U.S. fighter patrols warned off flights, preventing a planned Russian resupply from abroad. In addition, several Russian transports seeking to enter the airspace from the Caspian were quickly dispatched in explosive fashion, dissuading further Russian logistics efforts.
 
  • All military airstrips and civilian airports cratered in the West, with bunker-buster bombs rendering major runways unfeasible to repair
  • Major seaports destroyed, with minor seaports sustaining repairable damage
  • 204 Russian personnel KIA during American airstrikes
  • 2 Battalions (8 TELS each) S-400 destroyed
  • Moderator notes: I interpreted this successful SECRET post with prejudice. It is not possible for Russia to completely evade American C4ISR, but I will give them the benefit of the doubt because the coast and the Caspian are not able to be completely surveilled by limited American assets (or anyone, because it’s big). Given the success, I had to rig up a way for some to get in, and some being destroyed. Do not complain, because this is more than fair to both sides, and I could simply just magic all of them in, or out, but I’m too cool for that.
 
The Kremlin Strikes Back
 
Regardless, Russian planners were pleased with several S-400s coming through the American air blockade, and on January 6th gave the green light to begin a massive counterattack from protected western airstrips, having rear deployed a huge number of aircraft to coastal bases and airstrips in Dagestan. In a protected niche at the southernmost tip of Russia, flanked by a petrified Georgia and Azerbaijan, the bases were isolated from Western strikes except over the Caspian, and would serve to revitalize the Russian air campaign in a last ditch, all-in maneuver.
Launching four squadrons of Su-57s, as well as several supporting squadrons of Su-37s, the Russians returned to the skies of Turkmenistan, seeking to bulldoze a path through the American firewall to enable overt resupply of their war effort. Highly aware of the threat they faced, the Russian aviators were no longer suffering from the American first mover advantage. Utilizing the Su-37s as point in six wing squadrons, Russian warplanes probed the bleeding edge of the American BVRAAM envelope with limited numbers and feints, seeking to misdirect their American adversaries into sending out patrols, rather than deploying in strength, while Su-57s remained radar and weapons silent, hoping to evade American radar.
Soon, the Russians got their first bite; four Su-37s immolated before the Russian radar returned a single hit, stalked by Ghost Raptors. Overmatched, but with a plan, the Su-37s flipped quickly back on their heads and blasted towards the Su-57s, launching a volley of RVV-AE at thin air where the F-22s should be. American stealth largely slipped the active radar / IR seeker. Unfortunately for the American aviators, a wave of R-37, Mach 6 AAMs materialized from 200 kilometers away, feeding on the data of the Su-34s until the seekers could take over.
The classic bait and trap proved to be the bane of the Americans in their first engagement as defenders. With dozens of R-37s furiously closing in open air, the Ghost Raptor squadron of six launched their AMRAAM contingent, banking quickly and hard as their airframes groaned in response - to little avail. Waves of Russian hypersonics brought down the trailing four F-22s in quick succession, while the remaining two burned hard back to deeper American airspace.
From across the wild places of Russian-occupied West Turkmenistan, S-400 systems sprang to life, their 96L6E TSBS high-altitude detectors blasting the American patrols inside Turkmenistan with phased, multipath RF. The Americans, professional as always, quickly organized themselves against the sudden loss of four aircraft; however, they were in for a shock when several R-37s slammed broadside into a loitering E-3 Sentry, downing AWACS coverage on the coast.
The U.S. F-22s on station were ordered up for defense, while the F-15Xs and E/A-18Gs were tasked with the Trojan S-400s; outside the West, U.S. warplanes scrambled from tarmacs in Mary to as far away as Afghanistan.
Russian 40N6E missiles streaked across the sky as, beyond the pale, Russian Su-57s received targeting and weapons locks for the defending Americans. In true modern fashion, the war in the sky would again be fought without humans laying eyes on a target; it was a contest of machines, with radar against jammers, seekers against kinematics and stealth. Absent the first-mover advantage, American and Russian pilots died in near-equal measure, with the Ghost Raptors once again proving dominant in fair combat, and the older generation airframes showing weakness against hypersonics and advanced guidance systems that the 5th gens shrugged off.
Over several hours, the Russians contested the American defenders in bold fashion. By nightfall, American warplanes had managed to eliminate almost all the hidden SAMs, but they had left their mark. Under extreme duress, the American pilots gradually fell back across the theater, retreating to the relative safety of the Mary Region as waves of Russian Su-57s and Su-37s continued to harass them from Dagestan.
The Russians, for all their blood and effort, were unable to press beyond the coast and the Caspian; several enterprising Su-57s, seeking to burn towards Ashgabat, were quickly dominated by the reach of American BVRAAMS. This arrangement has led to a virtual no-mans-sky over the middle of Turkmenistan, denying Russia the ability to control the skies over Ashgabat, and denying the U.S. control of the coastal sky.
Russian engineers have quickly begun building makeshift airstrips for cargo landing at the ruins of Turkmenbash, while several smaller aircraft have simply utilized straight highways for landing strips.
 
  • 17 Russian Su-34s, 13 Russian Su-57s, 2 remaining battalions of Su-400s, 4 IL-78, 1 IL-76 destroyed; 4 Russian pilots captured by American SOF on the ground
  • 12 F-15X, 6 F-22C, 6 E/A-18G, 1 E-3 destroyed; no survivors
  • Russia has re-established supply across the Caspian.
  • American air superiority pushed back to just outside Ashgabat
 
Arkham Asylum: Ashgabat Edition
 
With war raging around it, Ashgabat has remained an odd oasis of calm, locked down since the beginning by a corps of Russian defenders and Wagner contractors, save for the odd instance of shooting or murder. Those days quickly came to an end, as both sides sought to grasp the crown jewel in the fight. American ROE has been discarded as commanders sought to dislodge the garrisoned Russian troops. RQ-180s, undetectable by the Russian air defense in the capital, slowly crept over the stronghold, feeding data back to the Americans stationed just to the East. Soon, the calm shattered, as B-2 bombers loosed hell on the soldiers and civilians alike.
Russian soldiers endured hours of bombings at a time in a scene reminiscent of the Second World War hopped up on steroids. American air power, though temporarily neutered by the Russian strongarm, still reached stealthily into the city. Buildings sheltering concentrations of Russians shattered under the barrage; streets turned into craters; hundreds died.
But, as these things go, the American side could only inflict pain on the Russian defenders. Much as their experiences with adventure in the Middle East should have taught them, a dispersed enemy in a massive city would not be dislodged. Russian assets were largely impossible to pin down, and to avoid leveling the entire city, the American bombing campaign slowly petered off to the occasional target identified by roving SOF or RQ-180 feeds.
Undeterred, with ample supplies, the Russians set about preparing to make life hell for those would would contest the capital boots-on-the-ground. Roadblocks went up where there weren’t already craters, while snipers nests, roadside bombs, and other various anti-infantry surprises soon lined the major and minor arteries of the city. Russian Engineer companies had ranged out, managing to destroy several dozen bridges leading into or near the city.
Russian soldiers have cracked down on the civilian population, simply administering justice as needed as martial law remains over the city. The civilian police force and government has all but ceased to function, with perhaps 20% of the previous employees remaining.
 
  • 409 Russian soldiers, 203 contractors KIA
  • 109 civilians killed in American bombings; several hundred more wounded
 
The Latest Issue of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
 
Having endured a grueling logistical journey to the desolate reaches of Afghanistan, the 44th Armoured Division has begun combat operations on February 1st, after American airstrikes had ravaged the skyline of Ashgabat. Fresh off an equalling appalling 430 kilometer trek just to make it in to Turkmenistan, the TAF had been forced to stop in the border regions to regather supplies and refuel.
Leading their own solitary charge, the Turkish soldiers would encounter little resistance during the march to Mary, as they intended to link up with American advisors and TDF brigades in the regional capital. The Russians, lurking in their confinement to the West, had other plans.
As the division neared Yoloten, the capital of Ýolöten District in the Mary Province and located at the confluence of the delta of the Murgab River 55 kilometers southeast of the TDF headquarters, the first missile whistled overhead. Russian satellite intelligence had clued Moscow in to the progress of the advance, and the Russian commanders remained determined to prevent any advance on Ashgabat. Chinese-made H-20 stealth bombers had taken to the skies at standoff distance in the Russian front, launching Kh-55 LRCMs at the Russian force. Turkish and American Patriot batteries (in Afghanistan) were able to pick up the launch - as were American E-3 and F-15X patrols, which directed the counter-fire.
SAM launches managed to neutralize about 75% of the Russian initial strike on the Turkish forces; a second wave of missiles launched at American bases in Afghanistan, and a third again at the Turkish forces. The Russian battery stressed A2/AD networks across the region; faltering at the relentless barrage, they refused to break. Ordinance did get through, but the damage was minimized by the valiant efforts of Turkish and American crews.
 
  • 105 Turkish soldiers KIA, 252 wounded
  • 1 Artillery regiment’s worth of equipment destroyed, as well as 8 Altay MBTs, 4 Gergedan HIFVs, and several maintenance trucks.
  • 6 American personnel in Afghanistan killed by tertiary damage
 
U.S. warplanes quickly shot back at Russian attackers, but given the lack of weapons-grade radar locks over H-20 stealth, the volley was largely aimed at Tu-160s, two of which died posthaste. Calm returned briefly as the Turkish columns began their approach to Mary, closing in the 55km within the evening as Russia remained quiet.
It would not last. As the Turkish army moved into the suburbs of Mary, the stronghold of TDF, the alarm again sounded; incoming Russian missiles. Patriots and TDF defenses whirred back to life, starbursts of light rising to meet the incoming barrage. Men braced for the return of hellfire; there was none. No explosions would rip flesh and rend metal - not this time.
This time, it was Sarin gas. Russian H-20 bombers had slipped into the airspace over Mary, loosing gravity bombs filled with nerve agents on the columns of Turkish forces inside the residential neighborhood. Delivered in an inert package with low-altitude submunition assembly, the Patriot systems had locked on to the odd H-20 or two, with American radar systems able to sense the impending doom, but not able to find a good lock on the bomblets.
Within seconds, the agent was simply inhaled or absorbed through the skin of hundreds of targeted Turkish soldiers, killing in under a minute without mercy. Unequipped and inexperienced, the soldiers - upon realizing it was a chemical attack - broke and scattered, as their comrades fell in droves. In the sky, a H-20 bomber lit the night as it burned, but it was little consolation to those on the ground.
 
  • Nearly three hundred Turkish soldiers killed by Sarin gas
  • The Murgap subdivision is untenable with lingering chemical contamination
  • The Turkish advance is halted
  • 3 H-20 bombers and 10 Tu-160 bombers destroyed
  • Undetermined number of civilian casualties
 
Mod note: I am dealing with at least five conflict posts that have different ideas of what is going to happen. I have read them fifteen times, spent many hours deciding how best to resolve it, and these results are final.
submitted by S01780 to GlobalPowers

Seymour Hersh on Syria and Trump

Trump‘s Red Line
President Donald Trump ignored important intelligence reports when he decided to attack Syria after he saw pictures of dying children. Seymour M. Hersh investigated the case of the alleged Sarin gas attack.
"We got a fuckin‘ problem"
Intelligence officials doubted the alleged Sarin gas attack at Khan Sheikhoun. WELT AM SONNTAG presents a chat protocol of a security advisor and an active American soldier on duty at a key base in the region.
The Fog of War
Seymour Hersh and the Question as to What Really Happened in Khan Sheikhoun.
The Islamic State‘s Horror Arsenal
The terror militia used poison gas grenades in the battle for Mosul on several occasions – and the islamists are possibly gathering sufficient nuclear material to create a dirty bomb. Experts are alarmed.
submitted by clonal_antibody to WayOfTheBern

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