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Zeta is currently strengthening as a Category 2 Hurricane before it makes landfall in the US.

A note on the name: When we go past 21 named hurricanes in a season, we switch to the Greek alphabet. It is 21 because in the English alphabet name list we do not use Q, U, X, Y and Z. This has only happened once before, in 2005. Here's the Greek alphabet, for reference: Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, Epsilon, Zeta, Eta, Theta, Iota, Kappa, Lambda, Mu, Nu, Xi, Omicron Persei 8 , Pi, Rho, Sigma, Tau, Upsilon, Phi, Chi, Psi, Omega. You can learn more about hurricane names here.
Please look to local news, local weather, and local and state emergency management agencies to find out more about how you may be affected, if you need to evacuate, and steps on getting prepared. Please everyone stay safe.
U Forecasts, Predictions, and Watches/Warnings
Tulsa Preparedness & Planning
College students should check out their university's emergency alert system - if you're not signed up to get notices, you should!
Useful links on: hurricane preparedness, emergency kits, emergency supplies for your car.
Louisburg Other things worth thinking about or getting:
  • General: A cooler. Fun/mental health stuff - books, games, etc. Cash. Weather radio and batteries. Flashlights > candles. Backup cell phone, laptop, or other batteries. Extra water. Hand sanitizer. Comfort items (a toddler's blankie, the puppy's favorite toy, your grandpa's watch you can't imagine losing).
  • Specialized: Transportation and assistive devices (think especially about children, pets, the elderly, people with disabilities).
  • Cars: Gas. Window breakeseatbelt cutter.
Gattaca Florida Safety:
  • Check your smoke detector and carbon monoxide detector batteries!
  • Watch out for downed power lines. Never assume it is dead. Avoid it.
  • Assume floodwaters are deeper than they look. Turn around, don't drown.
  • Learn your flood and evacuation zones!
  • Food safety from the FDA and USDA.
  • If your home floods and you need to go up, head for the roof. Keep an ax in your attic to get out that way if you need it.
  • Be aware of potential 911 delays.
  • Evacuate! If you can, check on people you know to see if they need help evacuating if you can offer it or put them in touch with someone who can.
Hertfordshire Documentation:
  • Bring it with you.
  • Store it in a plastic bag to they are together and stay dry.
  • House deed/rental agreement/lease.
  • Insurance information (home, car, renters, medical, flood).
  • Identification (ID card/driver's license, passport, Social Security card, marriage/birth certificates).
  • Take photographs of your home before you evacuate and when you return. Good documentation of the damage may help if you need to file an aid or insurance claim.
For long-term preparedness, check out CERT training information.
Holland Evacuation
College Information
We'll be updating this list as we get information.
/CFB Ball Louisiana
University or College Status Source
LSU CLOSED 10/28/2020 1400 CT
Southern *CLOSED 10/27/2020 1400 CT
Southeastern Louisiana Closed 10/28/2020 1400CT
Tulane CLOSED 10/282020 1400 CT
New Orleans Online Classes for Wed (10/28) - Shelter in Place 10/27/2020 2200 CT
Nicholls State CLOSED 10/28/2020 1400 CT
Loyola University New Orleans CLOSED 10/27/2020 2200 CT
Louisiana Lafayette Monitoring 10/27/20 1341 CT
Xavier University Louisiana CLOSED 10/28/2020 1400 CT
New Orleans Baptist Theological Seminary CLOSED 10/27/2020 2200 CT
Franciscan Missionaries of Our Lady University CLOSED 10/28/2020 1400 CT
Dillard University CLOSED 10/28/2020 1400 CT
Holy Cross New Orleans Classes Cancelled Wed (10/28)- Shelter In Place 10/27/2020 2200 CT
Southern University New Orleans CLOSED 10/28/2020 1400 CT
Baton Rouge CC CLOSED 10/28/2020 1400 CT
Northshore TCC Online Instruction Through Thurs (10/29) 10/28/2020 1400 CT
Fletcher TCC CLOSED 10/28/2020 1400 CT
Delgado CC CLOSED 10/28/2020 1400 CT
Nunez CC Online Instruction Wed (10/28) 10/27/20 2200 CT
River Parishes CC Online Instruction Wed (10/28) 10/27/20 2200 CT
South Louisiana CC Monitoring 10/27/20 2200 CT
/CFB Ball Mississippi
University or College Status Source
Southern Miss CLOSED 10/28/2020 1400 CT
William Carey Campuses Closing Throughout Wed (10/28) 10/28/20 1400 CT
Mississippi Gulf Coast CC CLOSED - Limited Operations 10/28/20 1400 CT
Pearl River CC CLOSED 10/28/20 1400 CT
/CFB Ball Alabama
University or College Status Source
South Alabama Online Classes. Limited Operations. All activities Cancelled Thursday 10/28/20 1400 CT
University of Mobile Online Classes - limited operations 10/28/20 1400 CT
Spring Hill College CLOSED - Limited Operations 10/28/20 1400 CT
Bishop State CC CLOSED 10/28/20 1400 CT
/CFB Ball Other States
University or College Status Source
West Florida CLOSED 10/28/20 1400 CT
Gulf Coast State College (FL) Monitoring 10/27/20 2200 CT
Touchdown Game Information Penalty Flag
We'll be updating this list as we get information.
This list includes all games played with teams in affected states. Many may not be affected, but given the ripple effects of things like travel and the particular complications of scheduling this season, we've listed them all here for reference.
Date Time (ET) Home Team Away Team Game Location Update
10/29 7:30pm Georgia Southern South Alabama Statesboro, GA
10/31 12pm Tulane Temple New Orleans, LA
10/31 4:30 pm Auburn LSU Auburn, AL
10/31 8 pm Texas State Louisiana San Marcos, TX
Learn More
submitted by NotABotaboutIt to CFB

How did "Open borders" stop meaning "Open borders"? - Why r/neoliberal users have a strong incentive to 'sanewash' hard libertarian positions.

There's a really good thread on a focus group of Biden-leaning primary voters who ended up voting for Bernie. Like all succ voters, they're insane, and they prove that fundamentally, a lot of people view Bernie as a somewhat normal-if-protectionist candidate. They generally decided to vote Bernie in the last two weeks before the Nevada caucus, which matches a few shifts in the polls that the hyper-observant might have noticed. But there's a few worth highlighting in particular.
18h 80% say tariffs are bad in the trade system. 60% have a favorable view of NAFTA. These people voted for Bernie!
18h Only one participant here agrees we should "open the borders." One woman says "That is crazier than anything Bernie has ever said." 50% of people here say they think Biden was privately sympathetic to the position.
18h We are explaining the actual policies behind open borders. One woman interrupts "that is not what open borders means, I'm sorry. It means they want to open the borders."
18h "I didn't like being lied to about this over and over again" says another woman.
18h "Don't try and tell word don't mean what they say" she continues. Rest of group nodding heads.
So, in other words, normal people think Open Borders means Opening the Borders. I think nobody reading this thread will be surprised by this, even those who might've been linked here as part of an argument with someone else. And let's be honest - open is just a stand-in for "abolish". And we know that's true, because back when Abolish Borders was the mood on twitter, Bryan Caplan was tweeting "Open Borders", while libertarian spaces were saying to abolish them. And the much older slogan "Abolish Borders" becomes translated to "Open Borders" in 2020. In case there's any doubt, a quick google trends search shows pretty clearly that Open Borders is not an old slogan, unlike "abolish borders", which actually has some non zero search bumps before May. The idea of 'open borders' is not new to 2020, and it's not new to 2020 politics no matter how obscure the older examples have been, but it's pretty clear I think that Open means Abolish, and it reads like that to everyone else too. So why were there so many people on twitter who said otherwise, and insisted on the slogan?
Between May 10 and May 20, we can see that "Open Borders" was hardly a slogan with much purchase - in fact, half the tweets here aren't even the slogan as we'd usually be familiar with. As a matter of fact, expand a bit further and the only account you get using it the way we'd be familiar with is one roleplaying as a cow. Just to contrast, again, see the same search period for "abolish borders". I doubt anyone is shocked to see how many more tweets there are about "Abolish borders", but I just want to make it clear - Abolish Borders was a well-worn, established slogan and ideology well and truly before "open borders" became a thing, and the search trends graph for the two phrases are basically identical. We can set the search dates to include the 27th, 28th, and 29th, and that includes a few examples of "Open borders" advocacy, but we don't really see what we're familiar with until we include the 30th and 31st. What I want to emphasize: This did spring up overnight. There was a very brief period where it was mainly defined - at least on twitter - by one CATO article that did talk about "and use keyhole solutions to compensate local communities", but pretty much straight after, we get:
Etc, etc. Look, we've all seen these types of tweets, I'm pretty sure, but I'm linking them for examples to prove what I'm saying to people who might have been blissfully unaware, and also because I have to admit that I'm about to start talking about a few things that I'm not going to be able to come close to sourcing well enough. But we know, pretty clearly, that there was a strong libertarian side to Open Borders that clearly meant "border abolition", and we also know that there was a side on twitter who claimed they didn't mean that, and I really assume I don't need to link example tweets at this point.
To put it simply - there were multiple "open border" factions on twitter. They overlapped significantly, and the specific type of that overlap is the core of what this post is finally going to be about. The social network overlap of hard-libertarians with mainstream neoliberals creates an incentive for mainstream neoliberals to 'sane-wash' libertarian slogans or activism.
This is a very rough way of putting it, but let's say you can categorize twitter spaces as fitting, roughly, into certain subcultures. Someone with a lot more data processing tools at their disposal could probably figure out some more specific outlines for this, but I'd make the argument that in essence, mainstream neoliberal online spaces are linked directly to hard libertarian spaces by way of - for lack of a better term - "economically literate spaces" and economist figures. By "economically literate", I mean accounts that are really more focused on a specific genre of policy activism, and more focused on that than they are, say, anti-communism, or even necessarily 'taco trucks on every corner'.
There's a whole constellation of libertarian-and-libertarian-adjacent online spaces, including Austrian spaces, "classical liberal" spaces, ancap spaces, etc, and likewise there's a whole constellation of neoliberal spaces from globe twitter, Pete stan twitter, etc, but ultimately, one thing (almost) all these spaces share is a commitment to a specific brand of market liberalism. Now this is where it gets very difficult to talk about things here - I'm about to talk about things that'll make sense to people who've been on the inside of the subculture I'm talking about, but would be less intuitive outside it. So I want to draw a distinction between "economically literate" spaces and general market liberalism.
General market liberalism is just a trait of mainstream American liberalism now, and it's pretty much here to stay. "Economically literate" spaces are a vector for this, and really, the origin of all the versions that exist now, regardless of how different they may have become. What's specific to "economically literate" spaces is that they spread the case for overall market liberalism through social dynamics primarily, and argument second which is why I'm singling them out, and why I'm singling them out as something worth pointing out about how they're shared between neoliberals and libertarians.
As an example - I'm an economist myself, and one of the most common forms of economist activism I've seen other economists make is "Listen to economists". This is generally made as a highly moralized demand to lay people, usually attached to a long thread about the particular expertise attached to being an economist, with some sentiments like "I'm so knowledgable of x and also y," and the need to "Listen to economists". It's not devoid of argument, but the key call to action is "Listen to economists" - in other words, really, an appeal to "you should be a good person", a condemnation of people who don't "Listen to economists", and the implication that if you're a Good Lay Person, you will Listen To Economists like the one in the thread. "Economically literate" spaces spread their desired information and views to sympathetic people by appealing to the morality, empathy, and fairness of the situation, but with a strong serving of 'those who do not adapt to these views and positions are inherently guilty'.
(In practice, this only ever means 'listen to the economists that my specific political subgroup has decided are the authorities', of course.)
This dynamic - appeal to empathy, morality, fairness, and the implication of a) a strong existing consensus that you're not aware of as a member of the outsider, privileged group, and b) invocation of guilt for the people who must exist and don't adapt to the views being spread - is the primary way that "economically literate" spaces have spread market liberal positions, with argument almost being only a secondary feature to that. Unfortunately, I can't back this up with detailed citations. If you've been involved in these spaces before the way I have, you know what I'm talking about.
What I think is pretty clear is that there's a significant overlap between mainstream neoliberals and hard libertarians by the way that they all follow the same "economically literate" social sphere. If you imagine everyone on twitter falls into specific social bubbles, I'm saying that people in otherwise separated bubbles are linked together by a venn diagram overlap with following people who exist in the "economically literate" bubbles. This is how information and key rhetoric will spread so readily from hard libertarian spaces to mainstream neoliberals - because it spreads through the "economically literate" space, and it spreads by the same dynamic of implication of strong consensus, of a long history of established truth, and an implication of guilt if you can't get with the program.
And that's exactly how 'open borders' can spread up through hard libertarian spaces into mainstream neoliberal spaces - through the same dynamic, again, of:
  1. Implication of long-established consensus
  2. Moralizing holding the position, so that not holding it implies guilt.
When you exist in a social space that spreads a view through this way, and is the consensus of everyone around you, this doesn't exactly promote careful thought about what you retweet or spread before you spread it, especially when everything is attached as something that needs to be spread and activised on. A great example of the mindset this creates can be found in the comments of Big Joel's "Twitter and education" video, about a very popular twitter thread about how conservative survivors of a hurricane were climate change denialists.
I was half listening to the video at the start and forgot how it had started. Hearing the tweet read in your voice I was one of the people who would half consciously like it. I actually started to wonder if I would response "appropriately" in the situation. Having you come back in and talk about how you were repulsed by the tweets literally took me off guard. I was like "oh yeah wow. He's right. These were bad tweets." I don't think my brain gets challenged enough on its initial responses to narrative and I just wanna say thanks. This video rocked. I like it a lot.
and another one:
I never read the original tweet, but I admit that as you read the thread to me, I had the same empathetic knee jerk reaction as I'm sure many of the conseratives who "liked" the thread did. I honestly was confused at first when you said you were angered by it. Then you laid out your case and I realized "Oh wow, of course that's wrong. How did I not see that at first."
(This is a very good video by the way.)
So, now say you're someone who exists in a libertarian-adjacent social space, who's taken up specific positions that have arrived to you through an "economically literate" space, and now has to defend them to people who don't exist in any of your usual social spaces. These are ideas that you don't understand completely, because you absorbed them through social dynamics and not by detailed convincing arguments, but they're ones you're confident are right because you were assured, in essence, that there's a mass consensus behind them. When people are correctly pointing out that the arguments behind the position people around your space are advancing fail, but you're not going to give up the position because you're certain it's right, what are you going to do? I'm arguing you're going to sanewash it. And by that I mean, what you do is go "Well, obviously the arguments that people are obviously making are insane, and not what people actually believe or mean. What you can think of it as is [more reasonable argument or position than people are actually making]".
Keep in mind, this is really different to just a straightforward Motte-and-Bailey. This is more like pure-motte. It's everyone else putting out bailey's directly, and advocating for the bailey, but you're saying - and half believing - that they're really advocating for motteism, and that the motte is the real thing. You often don't even have to believe the other people are advocating for that - in which case, you sort of motte-and-bailey for them, saying "Sure, they really want Bailey, but you have to Motte to get to Bailey, so why don't we just Motte?"
But the key thing about this is it's a social dynamic - that is, there's a strong social incentive to do this, because the pressure of guilt if you don't believe the right thing, or some version of it, is very strong, so you invent arguments for what other people believe, to explain why they're right, even though they don't seem to hold those positions themselves. I did this so many times in the past. And then the people who were arguing poorly in the first place will begin to retweet your position as if it was what they meant all along - or they won't even claim that it was what they meant, they're just retweeting it because it's an argument that points slightly to their conclusion, even if it's actually totally different to what they meant. If you're sanewashing, you won't let people make their argument for themselves, you'll do it for them, and you'll do it often, presenting the most reasonable version of what the people in your social group are pressuring you to believe so you can still do activism properly without surrendering the beliefs that you'd be guilty for not having. (Edit: You can think of it as basically, the people who just say "bailey" are creating a market for people to produce mottes for them.)
Again, for another example of this at work, see the Alan Greenspan story, and the whole thing about "Markets Are Efficient". This has been done to death here by now, but I want to say that back in 1986 when I still considered myself a libertarian, I would've been terrified to even suggest that Alan Greenspan - had he been a thing at the time - was wrong. The social weight of the subcultures I was involved in just clamped down on me. It was essentially a dogma that it was unimaginable to speak against. This is essentially, 100% of the reason why it was impossible for some people to admit that the Alan Greenspan story was obviously false - they had to sanewash for their social group, but most people had already been sanewashing "Markets Are Efficient" for years before that as well. Even though the end result of that slogan was the smash up we saw earlier this year. It's not hard to even find in this subreddit people making excuses for why "Open Borders" doesn't have to mean what it clearly does - that's sanewashing.
So with all that explained - I think it's pretty simple. Mainstream neoliberals 'sanewashed' the "Open Borders" position because they'd acquired the position through social spaces that imply anyone who doesn't hold those positions are guilty. If you exist in social spaces like that primarily, you almost don't have the option to dissent. The incentives against it are too strong. And that's how and why people will continually push for completely dumb slogans and ideas like that, even when it makes no sense - and sometimes, especially when it makes no sense. Because they assume it has to, and will rationalize their own reasons why it does.
submitted by 9c6 to neoliberal

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